
Pick by pick analysis of a two-round rookie mock draft for Superflex dynasty leagues.

As the NFL offseason unfolds, we continue to receive new pieces of the rookie analysis puzzle and get a little closer to seeing the complete picture on these guys. Training camp storylines, coach hype, and, unfortunately, off-the-field incidents all help guide our evaluations of the incoming crop of rookies.
And although dynasty is a long-term game and we shouldn’t overreact to camp battles or coachspeak, there’s certainly been some fluctuation in rookie ADP this offseason. Those value shifts are reflected below in our latest Superflex rookie mock draft.
Disclaimer: This is a one-man mock draft. I’ll be using Fantasy Life’s stellar tools, player evaluations, and data from my own leagues to piece together the ideal Superflex rookie draft.
For full dynasty fantasy football rookie rankings, click here.
If this year’s class featured Jayden Daniels, Caleb Williams, or Drake Maye, I might be inclined to stick with the traditional QB-first drafting approach. But it doesn’t. So I won’t.
The only player in this draft without any question marks, Jeanty deserves to be the unanimous 1.01. The only question you should have is whether your team is ready to contend for a championship, or if you’d be better off trading the pick for a massive haul to help rebuild your struggling squad.
Jonathan mentioned in his previous mock that a handful of players could reasonably be taken here. But the hit rate for running backs with Round 1 draft capital is simply too tempting for me to ignore.
It might be too simplistic to call Najee Harris this year’s Gus Edwards, though I do foresee some parallels to the Chargers’ 2024 backfield distribution. Jim Harbaugh and Greg Roman clearly wanted a traditional lead back last year, but poor health stole that dream.
In his first 10 healthy games, J.K. Dobbins handled 65% of the backfield carries and a staggering 88% of the backfield targets. Harris is a much better pass-catcher than Edwards, so we should temper that target share by a good bit.
Dwain McFarland’s median projection for Hampton’s rookie workload is 55% of the rushing attempts with a 40% route participation. But sooner than later, I expect Hampton to take the reins as an all-out workhorse in one of the league’s best rushing offenses.
And although Harris recently sustained a superficial eye injury as a result of a fireworks mishap, he’s expected to be ready for the start of the season. But if not, Hampton could have an even faster start to his career than originally predicted.
I know, I know. Cam Ward would be the “responsible” pick here in Superflex formats. But I have some qualms with him (that I’ll get to shortly).
McMillan is here above Travis Hunter for one reason and one reason only: We know strictly what position he’s playing. Both receivers are neck-and-neck in the Rookie Super Model, and McMillan has a clear path to immediate and sustained production.
While a Bryce Young breakout would certainly benefit him, I don’t think it’s critical to McMillan’s success. A couple of years ago, playing with a rookie quarterback, 33-year-old Adam Thielen was the WR2 in fantasy going into the Panthers’ bye week and posted his first 1,000-yard season in five years. So Young really only needs to be serviceable for McMillan to pay off at this pick.
I’m embarrassed to admit that just one short month ago, I balked at Thor Nystrom drafting Travis Hunter at the 1.06 in a 1QB mock. To quote my good friend Michael Gary Scott, “Well, well, well, how the turntables…”
Honestly, Hunter still scares the crap out of me. The Jaguars know he wants to play both ways, and they seem prepared to indulge him. There’s no shortage of ways for that to end poorly for fantasy managers.
Maybe he starts out primarily as a receiver. But what if Hunter gets restless and starts pushing for more defensive snaps? Or what if Jacksonville has a key injury in the secondary in the middle of the season – or during the fantasy playoffs! – and use him as a reinforcement? Or what if he gets injured himself because he’s playing too many snaps?
Yet, all the risks and “what ifs” are still worth it because Hunter’s ceiling is the freakin’ Sistine Chapel.
It’s time to finally be responsible and draft the best QB in this class (at least according to NFL GMs).
This probably seems like a long way for Ward to fall in a Superflex draft, but I’m not convinced this isn’t just Baker Mayfield all over again. Similarly taken 1st overall in 2018, it took six seasons for Mayfield to put up a top-12 fantasy season. Not because he lacked talent, but because his situation stunk. Enter Cam Ward to the Tennessee Titans.
Still, he deserves the benefit of the doubt, if only because quarterbacks are so precious in Superflex formats. Unless he goes full Will Levis, he should maintain solid value throughout his rookie contract.
The Patriots are doing everything they can to help keep Drake Maye upright and thriving. Not only did they beef up the offensive line, they drafted arguably the best pass blocker in this class. That ability should keep Henderson on the field in money downs, where he’s a big play waiting to burst.
Josh McDaniels has a history of top-end rushing offenses, and I trust him to get the most out of Henderson, even if he does split time with Rhamondre Stevenson for the next year or two.
Patience. You’ll know which of your leaguemates have it and which of them don’t, depending on where they’re willing to draft Egbuka.
I refuse to be scared off of Egbuka just because the current depth chart looks a little cluttered. We did this same dance with Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Egbuka’s teammate at Ohio State, who just put up 100 catches and 1,100+ receiving yards while both DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett were on the team. Now they’re both gone, and JSN is set up for a monster workload.
Mike Evans will be 32 at the start of the season. Chris Godwin is nearing 30, coming off a season-ending injury. And Emeka Egbuka could be a PPR stud much sooner than many think.
Now that the euphoria of watching the Packers finally draft a receiver in Round 1 has subsided … I’m still much higher on this guy than the consensus (and I’m still fighting with Jonathan Fuller over his placement of Golden).
I may be alone in this, but the so-called “crowded receiving room” in Green Bay just doesn’t bother me. Christian Watson has a tricky injury history and, along with Romeo Doubs, is due for a second contract that I’m skeptical will be signed with the Packers. Dontayvion Wicks has shown flashes but is wildly inconsistent. Jayden Reed is very good but unlikely to be a perpetual 1,000-yard receiver.
Golden’s talent and versatility should make him a mainstay at the top of this depth chart.
I felt bad watching the Bears snatch up Loveland because it seemed like such a gut punch to his fantasy value. But then I remembered he ranks fourth all-time among tight ends in the Rookie Super Model and that this is dynasty we’re talking about. Talent has a way of floating to the top.

I also remembered people (it’s me, I’m people) freaking out about Brock Bowers landing with the Raiders last year because Michael Mayer was there. At a minimum, one has to assume Ben Johnson has plenty of 12-personnel in his bag for as long as both Loveland and Cole Kmet are on the team. And once Kmet is gone? Clear the runway, folks!
Note: If your dynasty league has Tight End Premium scoring, I would move Loveland up to 1.08.
Prior to J.K. Dobbins signing with Denver, Ian Hartitz called the Broncos “one of the least-proven RB rooms in the league”, which is 10x nicer than what I would’ve written.
Even if Dobbins gets some run early this season, he’s on a one-year contract and has an injury history that rivals the Black Knight from Monty Python and the Holy Grail.
And that all leaves a nice fantasy vacuum for Harvey to fill. The best case scenario for both players this year is probably the ol’ Mark Ingram/Alvin Kamara duet, with Harvey enjoying significantly more long-term success.
After months of speculation, we now know the Steelers plan at quarterback. Which is to hope and pray that Aaron Rodgers has enough left in the tank to guide Pittsburgh to another winning season and first-round playoff exit so that Mike Tomlin can once again reset at QB next year. (Would someone mind looking up the definition of “insanity” for me?)
In the short term, Rodgers is a boost to Kaleb Johnson’s fantasy ceiling purely by way of increased scoring opportunities. And Pittsburgh has a proven track record with running backs, so I’m forced to trust the process.
The Dart situation feels similar to that of Michael Penix last year, except the Giants spent less draft capital on the rookie and less money signing their old (excuse me, veteran) quarterbacks in the offseason. Those two things should more or less balance out and make Dart a good QB to draft and hold, especially for non-contending dynasty teams.
Whenever he finally sees the field—which I expect to happen before the season’s over—his rushing ability should give him plenty of fantasy potential. The question is whether he’ll be good enough in real life to stop New York from spending another high draft pick on someone else in the near future. He’s a risk worth taking in Superflex.

A couple of months ago, Judkins was listed in the 1.07 spot and was essentially a coin-flip decision with TreVeyon Henderson.
But given his legal situation, Judkins’ fantasy value (both short and long term) is rightfully falling. And his consensus dynasty ADP is still too high for me.
This is obviously an ongoing situation with more questions than answers, but those questions (Will Judkins be suspended? Will he participate in training camp? Will this clear a path for Dylan Sampson to take the top spot in the Cleveland backfield?) are enough to put him outside of the first round in favor of more stable options.
In the short term, this landing spot is straight-up garbage water. But I’m not drafting Warren with the assumption he’ll be in my lineup Year 1. I’m banking on his stellar profile and the Colts’ uncharacteristically high draft capital to carry him into a second or third-year breakout.
Could Anthony Richardson or Daniel Jones be an impediment? Sure. But there’s also a pretty decent chance that Richardson, in particular, takes a big step forward with his passing accuracy or, alternatively, Indianapolis has a new face of the franchise by this time next year.
There’s a cluster of wide receivers with Round 2 draft capital, any of whom could be argued for with this pick. But I loved Harris as a prospect, and I love this landing spot even more. He has great size and quickness, and although his insane 5.12 yards per route run in college might suggest he’s something of a go route specialist, Thor Nystrom rightfully pointed out that Harris “has a deep bag of tricks.”
I can’t wait for Justin Herbert to utilize them all.
What’s better than one Nico Collins? One and three-quarters Nico Collins!
Similar to Matthew Golden, the gut reaction is that Higgins found himself in a crowded receiving room. But once you open up the hood and take a look around, you realize there’s not that much competition.
Christian Kirk is only under contract for a year, Tank Dell is in a perpetual state of recovering from injury, and fellow Iowa State alum Jaylin Noel figures to be more of a rotational piece in the lineup. So I’ll take the Collins-esque level of talent and walk away happy.
I try not to focus too much on landing spots with receivers, but I’m immensely confused by Chicago’s decision to draft Burden early in the second round. Did Rome Odunze’s lackluster rookie season shake their confidence in him? Are they preparing for life after DJ Moore in … [checks notes] 2029?
Or was the value simply too good to pass on a receiver who was projected to go in Round 1? I’d say that’s the most likely scenario, and more or less my rationale for taking Burden in this spot. His future production likely depends on whether Odunze can regroup and look like the standout prospect we all touted last offseason.
Just before Derek Carr retired, I had Shough down at the 2.11 spot. But even with that news and Shough’s second-round draft capital, it’s hard to move him up too much higher.
Because this man debuted in college the same year Avengers: Infinity War was in theaters (that’s right, Iron Man was still alive when Shough was a freshman). And he experienced five Taylor Swift Eras between high school and the NFL Draft!
… He’s old, is what I’m getting at. And the hit rate for a nearly 26-year-old rookie QB isn’t inspiring. But there’s a clear and easy path to playing time this year, at least, which makes him worth drafting if only to turn around and trade him away for better net value once he’s officially named the starter.
At this point in a rookie draft, I’m looking for players with an immediate path to fantasy production.
Bech’s college production left a lot to be desired, but walking into the weakest receiving room in the NFL with a competent QB at the helm gives him a massive head start. Part of choosing him here is anticipating a future “sell-high” opportunity if he pops off in 2025.
Ditto for Williams, who could quickly ascend the rather barren depth chart in New England.
Outside of Stefon Diggs, who is old and coming off a significant injury, there aren’t many guys that you could reasonably project to be a target hog in this offense. But Williams is one of them.
At a certain point in a Superflex draft, you have to stop running away from the dual-threat QB who only has Sam Darnold and Drew Lock standing in his way (Sam Darnold. And Drew Lock. Think about that).
I’m not saying Milroe has guaranteed staying power if he does leapfrog his competition, but he’s a reasonable bet for big-time fantasy points while he’s got the job.
Technically, Skattebo is a Day 3 pick, and the hit rate for Day 3 running backs isn’t great. But, we should also consider that he was snatched up immediately in Round 4 by a team with a wide-open backfield.
Whichever back pass blocks with the most aplomb will likely see the lion’s share of snaps, and Skattebo has a great chance to be that guy.
Like Skattebo, Tuten just barely missed the Day 2 cutoff for draft capital. And with Travis Etienne and Tank Bigsby in the mix, this backfield could turn into a headache.
But at this stage in a dynasty draft, we need to quit worrying about reliability and start sniffing out maximum upside. Tuten is a big-play threat that doesn’t need to touch the ball 15 times a game to pay off.
Perhaps no coach in NFL history has been more about getting “his guys” than Sean Payton, to the point we should have an entirely different system for evaluating the draft capital spent on his picks.
And make no mistake, Pat Bryant is 100% a “Sean Payton guy” and he’s already earned a Michael Thomas comp from his coach. Bryant will just have to fight off Devaughn Vele for the No. 2 spot behind Courtland Sutton, who, I should remind you, is pushing 30 years old.
